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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-2.09+5.12vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-1.38+3.09vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-2.42+3.59vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41-1.53vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.50-2.44vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.04-3.51vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.43-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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2.19University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McLeod | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 25.7% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 47.3% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 7.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 14.6% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 15.0% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 9.6% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 7.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 39.7% | 27.6% | 16.8% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.