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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.43+0.17vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+0.47vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.09-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.38-2.87vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.42-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.04-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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3.57Western Washington University-0.500.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.44Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
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6.14University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 41.2% | 26.9% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 15.2% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 15.4% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 22.7% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 25.9% | 42.5% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.