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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+1.43vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50-0.41vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.09-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.38-2.97vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.42-2.34vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.04-5.60vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-1.04-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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3.43University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
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3.59Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 39.9% | 27.6% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 15.8% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 14.6% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 27.9% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 7.0% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 47.7% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.