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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+1.17vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41-1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.42+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.04-3.54vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-4.60vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-2.09-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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3.57Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
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6.69University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.4Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 40.3% | 27.9% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 14.2% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 15.4% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 22.2% | 46.6% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 10.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 25.1% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 5.8% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.