← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.43+1.19vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-1.04+1.50vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.41-0.54vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-1.04-0.50vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.50-2.41vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-1.01-2.59vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-1.38-3.97vs Predicted
-
10University of Oregon-2.09-3.76vs Predicted
-
11University of Oregon-2.42-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
-
4.5University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
-
3.46University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
-
4.5University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
-
3.59Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
4.41Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
-
5.03University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
-
6.24University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
-
6.58University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 41.1% | 27.3% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 16.4% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 14.5% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 26.2% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 22.6% | 43.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.