← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington-1.04+2.35vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.41+0.54vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-1.04-0.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.43-3.28vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-1.38-2.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-2.09-2.35vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-2.42-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
-
2.54University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
-
3.35University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
-
1.72University of Washington0.430.5%1st Place
-
3.75University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
-
4.65University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
-
4.99University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Dougherty | 10.2% | 19.1% | 24.8% | 23.9% | 15.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 22.8% | 31.9% | 22.4% | 15.9% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 10.2% | 19.1% | 24.8% | 23.9% | 15.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 53.0% | 28.8% | 13.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 8.2% | 10.8% | 21.5% | 26.7% | 22.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.0% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 29.8% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 24.7% | 48.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.