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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.83vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.72+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.33-0.38vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.79+2.24vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.10-0.45vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.80-0.68vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.44-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Salve Regina University0.4627.2%1st Place
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3.56Bates College0.7217.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Rhode Island1.3328.7%1st Place
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6.24Salve Regina University-0.794.0%1st Place
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4.55Boston University0.109.2%1st Place
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5.67Fairfield University-0.434.6%1st Place
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6.32University of Connecticut-0.802.8%1st Place
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7.65Middlebury College-1.681.5%1st Place
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5.57University of Vermont-0.445.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 27.2% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 17.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Severson | 28.7% | 25.4% | 20.3% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 15.6% |
| Renato Korzinek | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 7.8% |
| Ryan Treat | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 15.6% |
| Robin Potter | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 50.8% |
| Greer Page | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.