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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University2.38+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02-0.01vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.25+1.01vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.48-1.43vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.32+0.11vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.32-0.89vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.79-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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1.99University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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4.01University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
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2.57Cornell University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
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4.61Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Pedrick | 20.9% | 26.7% | 24.8% | 18.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 42.1% | 29.5% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 7.8% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 27.0% | 28.2% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 23.6% | 25.4% | 29.0% | 15.1% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 23.4% | 53.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 23.4% | 53.8% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hutchings | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 20.0% | 33.9% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.