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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+0.50vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.47+0.04vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-3.07+0.29vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-2.90-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.6%1st Place
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2.04Drexel University-1.470.3%1st Place
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3.29Webb Institute-3.070.1%1st Place
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3.17Catholic University of America-2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Gilroy | 61.1% | 29.3% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 26.8% | 47.8% | 19.9% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Motyka | 6.1% | 10.6% | 31.3% | 52.0% |
| Christian Aron | 6.0% | 12.3% | 40.9% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.