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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+4.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.50vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+1.19vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.69-0.43vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86+0.24vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+1.37vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.09+0.17vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.99-0.28vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.92vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-2.42vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-5.25vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.81-3.90vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.19-2.09vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-2.13-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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3.75Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.57Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.24University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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10.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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11.72Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.1Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.91North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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17.39University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.0% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 0.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 1.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 1.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 1.6% |
| Annika Milstien | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 39.6% | 9.7% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 6.4% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.