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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+6.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+0.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+1.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.55+0.93vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+6.29vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09+3.04vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.24vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.99+0.59vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.05+2.74vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.68vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81-2.24vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-4.62vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.49-6.25vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-5.00vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-2.13-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.59University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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3.73Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.03Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.29St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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9.81Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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11.59Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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14.74North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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17.4University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.2% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 2.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 36.8% | 9.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.