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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.25+3.04vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.38+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02-1.03vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.48-1.44vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.79-0.35vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.32-0.89vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.32-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
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2.68Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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1.97University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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2.56Cornell University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.65Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Walden | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 28.6% | 26.6% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 21.8% | 26.1% | 25.7% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 42.2% | 30.3% | 17.9% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 23.2% | 26.7% | 29.1% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hutchings | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 20.1% | 31.9% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 26.1% | 50.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 26.1% | 50.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.