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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+5.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+7.10vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39-2.41vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.55-1.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.09+2.09vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-4.28vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.46vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.06-5.52vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81-2.32vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.86-3.19vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.19-1.08vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.99-5.42vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-2.13-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.51University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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12.1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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3.59Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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5.72Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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11.68Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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14.92North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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17.38University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 1.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.6% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Green | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 1.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Annika Milstien | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 39.3% | 9.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.