← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.09+9.67vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.47+3.54vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.82+1.48vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.34+1.82vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.76vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.86+1.60vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.16-0.51vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.49+0.86vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+0.13vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University0.99+1.10vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University-0.05+3.23vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.39-2.31vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.37vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University0.81-2.75vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.29vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.86-4.59vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.44-7.72vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas-2.13-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.67University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
-
5.54Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
4.48Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
-
5.82Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.76University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
7.6University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
-
6.49Stanford University2.160.1%1st Place
-
8.86Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
-
9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
11.1Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
-
14.23North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
9.69Dartmouth College1.390.0%1st Place
-
9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
-
11.25Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
11.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
-
9.28Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
17.33University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alice Schmid | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 0.6% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 34.0% | 9.2% |
| Charlotte West | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 1.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 1.7% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 1.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 7.0% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.