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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+4.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+3.34vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+3.09vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63+4.41vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+5.95vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.32+3.66vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.35vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.69vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.77-1.13vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43+1.95vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-6.08vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.13-6.46vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.12-3.89vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-5.41vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.28-2.52vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.40-3.87vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.12-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.09Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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9.66University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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12.14Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.11Fordham University1.120.0%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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13.48North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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16.46University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Lina Carper | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 3.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 8.1% |
| bella casaretto | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Keller | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 10.3% |
| Malia Johnson | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 8.3% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 14.5% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.