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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+10.17vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+4.12vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+2.63vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+1.15vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.50vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+0.61vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.63+1.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-2.46vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.77-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.32-0.02vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.12-0.48vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.32vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.28+0.24vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.72-2.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-7.74vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.40-2.92vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-4.00vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.12-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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6.12Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.63Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.15Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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6.61Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.53Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.54Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.98University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University1.120.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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13.24North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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11.63Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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13.08University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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16.47University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Carper | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Rebecca Keller | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 8.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 8.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 7.6% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.