← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.13+5.81vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.77+6.20vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.53vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.32+1.93vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.56+0.20vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.66vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.43-1.41vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.32+1.58vs Predicted
-
9Boston University0.72+2.93vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.58-4.71vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.55vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.63-3.14vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.12-2.76vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University0.28-0.84vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-4.03vs Predicted
-
16University of Hawaii0.40-2.88vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.43-3.98vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas-1.12-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.81Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
8.2Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
5.93Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
5.2Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
-
5.59Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.58University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
-
11.93Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.29Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.45University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
-
8.86Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
-
10.24Fordham University1.120.0%1st Place
-
13.16North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
13.12University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
-
13.02University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
16.46University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.5% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| bella casaretto | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 4.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Marina Conde | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Keller | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 9.7% |
| Lina Carper | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 8.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 7.8% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 13.7% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.