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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+5.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47+3.47vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.32+6.74vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63+4.22vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+0.06vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.90+4.06vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13-1.63vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.90vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43+1.79vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.77-3.93vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.65vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.08+0.01vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-3.31vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.28-2.68vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-6.03vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.12-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.47Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.74University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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8.22Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.06Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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5.85Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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6.37Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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14.01Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.69Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.32North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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16.37University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Marina Conde | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 7.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 15.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 9.0% |
| Lina Carper | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.