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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+4.35vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+3.77vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.77+4.66vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90+6.63vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.63+2.95vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56-1.13vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.31-1.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.32+0.11vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-3.59vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-1.15vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-1.23vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.38+1.55vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.42vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.10-1.58vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-3.58vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.28-4.06vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.12-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.77Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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7.95Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.87Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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9.11University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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6.41Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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10.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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14.55Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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13.42Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.94North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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16.18University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Marina Conde | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Lina Carper | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 20.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 9.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 10.3% | 19.0% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.