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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University2.38+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02-0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.25+1.01vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.79+0.58vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.48-2.33vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.32-0.92vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.32-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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1.97University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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4.01University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
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4.58Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
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2.67Cornell University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.08Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.08Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Pedrick | 20.6% | 27.8% | 24.2% | 19.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 44.9% | 25.3% | 20.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 26.4% | 27.5% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hutchings | 3.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 32.9% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 21.6% | 27.5% | 25.4% | 15.7% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 23.6% | 52.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 23.6% | 52.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.