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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.61vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.72+1.65vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46-0.24vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.44+0.61vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.80-0.63vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.24vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.79-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Rhode Island1.3329.3%1st Place
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3.65Bates College0.7214.8%1st Place
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2.76Salve Regina University0.4628.0%1st Place
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4.44Boston University0.109.3%1st Place
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5.61University of Vermont-0.444.2%1st Place
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5.61Fairfield University-0.435.7%1st Place
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6.37University of Connecticut-0.803.0%1st Place
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7.76Middlebury College-1.681.2%1st Place
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6.19Salve Regina University-0.794.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 29.3% | 25.6% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jett Lindelof | 14.8% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 28.0% | 23.7% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Greer Page | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 8.3% |
| Jane Matthews | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 15.2% |
| Robin Potter | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 54.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 22.9% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.