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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+4.90vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+3.72vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+2.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+4.07vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.63+2.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.45vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-3.15vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.17vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.90+0.93vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.38+3.73vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.77-4.22vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.10vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-4.52vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.43-2.73vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.28-3.03vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-1.12-0.64vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.10-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.72Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.29Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.07University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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8.02Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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4.85Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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8.83University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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14.73Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.78Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.97North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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16.36University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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13.27Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 24.0% | 21.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sabrina Starck | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 4.4% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 6.2% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 55.2% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.