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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.32+8.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.31+3.47vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.77+4.33vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63+3.56vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+0.88vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.82+1.00vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.47-2.12vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.15-2.21vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.24vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.28+1.73vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.43-1.07vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.38+0.36vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-1.12+1.22vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.40-3.71vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-6.67vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.10-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.56Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.88Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.0Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.88Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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12.73North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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14.36Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.22University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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10.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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13.04Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalea Woodard | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.0% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 19.2% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 53.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.2% |
| Lina Carper | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.