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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+5.28vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+3.90vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04+2.18vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55-0.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+5.84vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+4.00vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26+1.20vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.53vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.84+0.92vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.65-3.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.72vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.79-2.30vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.37-9.01vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.12-1.77vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.93vs Predicted
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18Rollins College0.01-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.48Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.51Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.92Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.0Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.7Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.99Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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14.23Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.07Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.41Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.3% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Emily Allen | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ava Farley | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 24.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| KA Hamner | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.