← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.06+6.40vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.03+5.46vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.37+3.18vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.04+3.15vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.55+0.47vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.92-1.59vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.65+1.72vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.26+2.11vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.84-1.13vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.12+4.30vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University0.84+0.90vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.79+0.27vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.29-6.75vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.48vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.61vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.76-3.83vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.94vs Predicted
-
18Rollins College0.01-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.4Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
7.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.18Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
7.15College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
-
5.47Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
4.41Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
8.72Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
10.11George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
7.87University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
14.3Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
11.9Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
-
12.27Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.25Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
12.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
10.39U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
12.17University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.06Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
14.37Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Grace Bray | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 26.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| KA Hamner | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.