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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+4.67vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.44vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+9.18vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+6.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19+4.49vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+0.99vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12-4.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-1.90vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-3.68vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.84+0.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+1.04vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.79-1.26vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.04-6.95vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.65-6.38vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.01-1.48vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.12-2.81vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.53-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.18Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.04George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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3.79Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.32Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.83Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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11.74Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.05College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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8.62Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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14.52Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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14.19Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 22.4% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Ella Demand | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| KA Hamner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 28.4% |
| Grace Bray | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 24.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.