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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.19+9.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+3.60vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+4.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.31vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.08+9.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+0.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-1.76vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65-0.35vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-3.73vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.79+1.07vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26-1.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-5.18vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.57vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.84-3.25vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.79-3.93vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-4.82vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.12-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.66U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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4.31Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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14.6Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.24Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.65Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.27Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.07Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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12.07Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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14.02Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 3.6% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.1% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 32.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ella Demand | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% |
| Grace Bray | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.