← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan3.02+1.02vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University2.38+0.68vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame1.25+1.00vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University0.79+0.57vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University0.32+0.12vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.48-3.39vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University0.32-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
-
2.68Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
-
4.0University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.57Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
-
5.12Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
-
2.61Cornell University2.480.2%1st Place
-
5.12Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 40.6% | 30.0% | 19.6% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 23.4% | 24.3% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 7.7% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 25.9% | 28.8% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hutchings | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 19.8% | 31.8% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 1.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 24.3% | 53.4% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 23.0% | 25.4% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 1.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 24.3% | 53.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.