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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+8.20vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.38+3.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+3.28vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.36+0.97vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.79+5.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75-2.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+4.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-0.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.16+3.90vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.50-1.80vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.73-3.71vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.64-0.51vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.80+2.45vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.60-6.61vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-3.62vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.29-3.50vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.14-3.98vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.37-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.11Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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10.5Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.95Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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11.49Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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15.45Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.39College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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12.5Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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12.0Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 15.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.8% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 9.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 45.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% |
| Laura Smith | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.