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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+3.06vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+5.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.73+4.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.36+0.88vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+2.66vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+2.70vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.64+3.80vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.38-3.16vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.60-1.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+1.49vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.29+1.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.01-5.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.16-0.67vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-1.72vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.79-4.74vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.37-1.89vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.37-5.02vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-1.95-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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7.84Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.88Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.7George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.8Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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4.84Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.33College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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11.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.2Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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10.26Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.98Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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16.91Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 18.7% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 13.4% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Ashton Loring | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 3.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 24.3% | 11.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 2.7% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 11.4% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.