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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+3.16vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.38+3.18vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+4.83vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+3.84vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.73+2.20vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64+5.25vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.36-1.88vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.54+2.68vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.01-3.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.16+2.04vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.29+0.83vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.50-5.09vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-2.79vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.79-4.32vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.37-3.65vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.21vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.80-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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5.18Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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7.84Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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11.25Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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5.12Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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12.83Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.68Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.35Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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15.54Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 18.4% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Emily Doble | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.9% |
| Meara Conley | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.