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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+4.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.70+9.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.73+4.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+0.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+2.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+2.11vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.37-1.74vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+1.04vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.38-3.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57+0.65vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.64-0.30vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.79-2.37vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-6.10vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.54-3.33vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-1.95+1.19vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.37-4.57vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.29-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.4Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.74College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.26Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.04George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.08Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.7Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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10.63Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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17.19Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.43Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.38Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 1.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 1.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 80.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 5.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.