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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+6.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.17+7.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+0.70vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.38+0.52vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+2.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.73+0.70vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+1.54vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University0.91+1.67vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.84+1.01vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.64+1.05vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60-3.78vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.37+0.28vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-1.94vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.80+1.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.73vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.70-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.14-4.10vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.29-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.05Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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3.7Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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4.52Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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7.38Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.54George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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9.67Georgetown University0.910.0%1st Place
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10.01Jacksonville University0.840.0%1st Place
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11.05Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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7.22College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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12.28Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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15.27Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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12.01Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.8% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.5% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Alexa Shea | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Fiona Froelich | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 8.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 46.3% |
| Meara Conley | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Josephine Sherry | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 12.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.