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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.59vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.86vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.43+2.75vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+0.44vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.72-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.44-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.80-0.71vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.35vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.79-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of Rhode Island1.3331.6%1st Place
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2.86Salve Regina University0.4625.2%1st Place
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5.75Fairfield University-0.434.8%1st Place
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4.44Boston University0.109.7%1st Place
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3.6Bates College0.7214.6%1st Place
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5.57University of Vermont-0.445.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Connecticut-0.803.8%1st Place
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7.65Middlebury College-1.681.8%1st Place
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6.24Salve Regina University-0.793.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 31.6% | 23.9% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.2% | 23.9% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 8.6% |
| Renato Korzinek | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Jett Lindelof | 14.6% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Greer Page | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 21.1% | 15.4% |
| Robin Potter | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 52.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.