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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University2.38+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.020.00vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.25+1.02vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.32+1.05vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.79-0.36vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.32-0.95vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.48-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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2.0University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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4.02University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
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5.05Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
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4.64Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.05Purdue University0.320.0%1st Place
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2.59Cornell University2.480.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Pedrick | 20.9% | 25.4% | 26.9% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 42.3% | 28.1% | 19.1% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 7.6% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 25.3% | 29.5% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 24.3% | 51.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hutchings | 3.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 32.0% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Parker | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 24.3% | 51.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 23.1% | 27.2% | 24.5% | 18.4% | 6.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.