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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+9.03vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+7.01vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+7.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+4.33vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+5.12vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06+4.11vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.69+0.49vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+1.11vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06+1.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-1.64vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.39-5.90vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.92-5.06vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.49-0.81vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-6.18vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.82-8.08vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.86-4.97vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-3.58vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.84-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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9.01Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.44College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.49Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.11Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.1Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.94Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.19Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.82Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.03University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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13.42George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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14.42Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.1% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 20.6% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.