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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.20vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+6.29vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+7.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+3.39vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+1.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+3.18vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+3.11vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.86+1.95vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03+0.46vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-4.32vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.81vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.26+0.11vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.84+0.34vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.55-6.97vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.49-3.54vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.37-8.05vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.44College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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7.39Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.18Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.95University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.68Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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13.11George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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14.34Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.46Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.95Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Bridget Green | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.6% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 19.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 35.3% |
| Sarah Young | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.