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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+8.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.15vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+5.35vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+4.03vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-0.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+2.19vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03+2.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.45vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-0.66vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-1.48vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-6.10vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.47-5.75vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-2.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.84-1.31vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.86-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.15Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.19Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.2Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.38Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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14.69Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.36George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.78University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Green | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 36.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.