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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+6.72vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+6.63vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+7.45vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+5.04vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04+5.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+2.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+5.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55+0.04vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-3.22vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-0.93vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-3.87vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-6.74vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.21vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.84-0.47vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-6.13vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.56-4.75vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.26-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.07College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.29Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.78Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.07Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.26Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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14.53Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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12.25University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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13.02George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% |
| Sarah Young | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 35.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.