← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.39+4.22vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+4.11vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.55+5.44vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.37+4.78vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.10vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.69+1.58vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.47+1.46vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.29+1.12vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.49+3.47vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.26+3.50vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston2.04-0.60vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.86-0.65vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.03-2.87vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.47vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.55-6.94vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.82-8.95vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.06-6.74vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University0.84-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.22Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.11Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.44Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.78Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
10.1University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.58Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
8.46Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.12Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
-
12.47Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
13.5George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.4College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
11.35University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
-
10.13Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
-
9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.06Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.05Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
10.26Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
-
14.44Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Bridget Green | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 22.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 6.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.