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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.25vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+8.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.10vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+4.04vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+2.53vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.69+0.50vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86+2.88vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06+1.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.18vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.37-2.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-4.67vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.55-4.97vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-5.10vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-2.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.84-1.31vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-3.59vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.04-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.5Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.99Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.9Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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12.38Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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14.69Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.41George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 37.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 20.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.