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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+7.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+7.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+5.18vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.86+5.02vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.69+0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-1.05vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-0.94vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-0.85vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.00+3.27vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.75vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-2.87vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.49-1.83vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-1.70vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.55-7.80vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-6.51vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.18Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.04Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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11.02University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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7.58Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.95Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.15Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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14.27Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.13College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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12.17Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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13.3George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 33.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 20.1% |
| Sarah Young | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.