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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.25vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+5.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+5.75vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+4.06vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.49+7.32vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.37+2.92vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.55+1.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06+2.09vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29+0.23vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-2.20vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-0.57vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-1.31vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.21vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.86-3.30vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-0.85vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.12-10.03vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-3.53vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.32Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.23Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.8Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.43College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.69Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.7University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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14.15Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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13.47George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.4% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Young | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Green | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 30.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 22.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.