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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+8.07vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.10vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+7.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.59vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+5.06vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+2.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+2.15vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.86+1.98vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.04+0.52vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.26+2.37vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.55-3.55vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.49-0.72vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.82-7.19vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.69-7.52vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.03-5.69vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.00-2.70vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.1Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.59Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.12Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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10.52College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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13.37George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.28Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.81Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.48Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.31Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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14.3Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 21.4% |
| Sarah Young | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 32.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.