← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.57vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.46+0.86vs Predicted
-
3Bates College0.72+0.58vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont-0.44+1.56vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University-0.43+0.69vs Predicted
-
6Boston University0.10-1.48vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut-0.80-0.71vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.68-0.32vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University-0.79-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.57University of Rhode Island1.3330.7%1st Place
-
2.86Salve Regina University0.4624.4%1st Place
-
3.58Bates College0.7217.0%1st Place
-
5.56University of Vermont-0.444.8%1st Place
-
5.69Fairfield University-0.435.2%1st Place
-
4.52Boston University0.109.0%1st Place
-
6.29University of Connecticut-0.803.8%1st Place
-
7.68Middlebury College-1.681.6%1st Place
-
6.25Salve Regina University-0.793.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 30.7% | 27.0% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 24.4% | 22.8% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 17.0% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Greer Page | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 7.6% |
| Jane Matthews | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 8.8% |
| Renato Korzinek | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 16.2% |
| Robin Potter | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 50.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.