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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+8.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+5.15vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+7.50vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.49+8.26vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.37+3.76vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+4.13vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.13vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.80vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-0.62vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.39-4.87vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-4.28vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.55-3.57vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.43-4.62vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.69-6.79vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.86-4.95vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-3.58vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.00-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.5College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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12.26Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.76Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.13Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.13Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.72Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.21Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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13.42George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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13.97Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| bella casaretto | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 22.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.