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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.17vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+8.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+6.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+4.30vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.49+7.21vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.86+4.98vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.77vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.14vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-3.20vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-0.63vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.04-1.44vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.37-4.33vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.43-5.78vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.69-7.54vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.55-7.86vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-3.56vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.00-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.4Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.21Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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6.8Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.56College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.67Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.14Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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13.44George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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13.99Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| bella casaretto | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 21.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.