← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.47+7.61vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.04+8.41vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.34+6.14vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.55+4.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.06+4.98vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.39-1.03vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.03+3.21vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.29+1.04vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.90+5.39vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.26+3.40vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.09vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.37-2.82vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.49-0.82vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.82-7.26vs Predicted
-
15Yale University3.12-9.19vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.55-7.85vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida1.86-5.95vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.06-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.61Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.41College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
9.14Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
8.0Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.98University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
4.97Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
-
10.21Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
-
9.04Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
14.39Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
-
13.4George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.18Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
-
12.18Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
6.74Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.81Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.15Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
11.05University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
-
9.84Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 33.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 20.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.