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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+9.32vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+8.38vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+2.06vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+3.97vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.37+3.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+4.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.79vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+1.05vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.34-0.12vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.86+0.02vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26+1.53vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.49-0.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-8.29vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.98vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.82-9.00vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.90-2.46vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.55-10.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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5.06Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.74Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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9.05Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.02University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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13.53George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.2Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.0Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.54Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.1% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 20.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.5% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 34.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.