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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.10vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+8.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+4.11vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.64vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.34+3.79vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55+2.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+3.17vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.37+0.64vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.49+3.33vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.26+3.43vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-1.77vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.55-3.60vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-3.03vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.47-5.93vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.92-8.52vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.90-1.53vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.86-5.96vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.11Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.64Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.33Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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13.43George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.23Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.4Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.47Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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11.04University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.2% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Young | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 20.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 34.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.