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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+7.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+8.42vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+8.20vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.37+4.67vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+4.94vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+0.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47+1.36vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+5.08vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-2.15vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.39-4.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-1.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.83vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.55-5.12vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-4.27vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-4.99vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.49-3.58vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.34-8.03vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.90-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.2University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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8.67Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.08George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.07Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.24Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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12.42Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.97Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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14.26Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 20.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Young | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.