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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+6.96vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47+5.54vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+4.98vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+5.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.46vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.31+1.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.77+3.31vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.32-0.12vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.13-0.35vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-3.51vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.56-3.92vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22+0.86vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.32-1.02vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-2.95vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-3.68vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.73-5.46vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.60-5.83vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.41-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.16Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.88Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.86George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.98University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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11.05Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.17College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Harned | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Emily Doble | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 21.7% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 8.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.