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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+6.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+5.94vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+8.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+6.12vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+7.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+3.27vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.47+0.34vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-1.06vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.31-1.06vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-3.53vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.32+0.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.59vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.32-6.34vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.73-4.58vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.50-4.54vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.06vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.3College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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10.12Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.32George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.27Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.34Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.47University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.46Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Emily Doble | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Ellie Harned | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 16.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.